Live Price
$6,840+0.9%ETH · Ethereum
ETH is supported by improving network activity and stable liquidity, while relative strength still lags BTC on two intraday windows.
Composite
77Evidence-weighted quality.Risk
48BalancedRank
#2Good depth, fragmented flowMarket Cap
$822.6BL1 smart contracts24h Volume
$21.4BVenue activity proxy.On-chain
79Network and flow health.Derivatives
68Funding and leverage posture.Score History
Risk Path
ETH probabilistic signal
ETH rotation improves but still trails BTC
ETH signal quality improved as network activity and L2 fee signals recovered, but relative strength has not fully confirmed broad rotation.
77
Priority#2
Composite77
Risk48
Confidence70%
Technical74
On-chain82
Sentiment70
Derivatives67
Execution Quality
Good depth, fragmented venue confirmation
AI Explanation
The model views ETH as constructive but less clean than BTC. Evidence improved, contradictions remain mostly about relative leadership and fragmented flow.
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Evidence Graph
Evidence
- L2 fee activity rose above the trailing average.
- Exchange depth is adequate across the top venue cluster.
- Correlation-adjusted downside risk is lower than high-beta assets.
Contradictions
- ETH/BTC relative strength is still below its upper weekly band.
- Flow is less synchronized across venues than BTC.
- Network metrics have been noisy across recent windows.
Uncertainty
- Validator queue changes may lag market reaction.
- L2 data can overstate durable demand during short incentive bursts.
- Macro beta remains high.
What Changed Recently
The Evidence Graph added network activity as a stronger supporting node after fee activity improved.
What To Monitor Next
Watch ETH/BTC relative strength, validator queue stability, and breadth outside the top two assets.
Evidence Supporting The Signal
Monitoring Checklist
- ETH/BTC relative strength above the weekly midpoint
- L2 fee activity sustaining above seven-day average
- Validator exit queue staying orderly
Reasoning Ledger™
Explainable Timeline™
Institutional Access Required
The full timestamped Reasoning Ledger is available to Institutional accounts. Starter accounts can still review score history, asset state, and monitoring priorities.
View PlansContradictions
- ETH/BTC relative strength is still below its upper weekly band.
- Flow is less synchronized across venues than BTC.
- Network metrics have been noisy across recent windows.
Signal History
- ETH rotation improves but still trails BTC: The Evidence Graph added network activity as a stronger supporting node after fee activity improved.